Market-2

 

Markets were closed on Monday in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

01/15/2018:  Markets were up again this week, as the Dow rose 2%, the Nasdaq gained 1.7%, the S&P 500 added 1.6%, and the small-cap Russell 2000 increased by 2%. The broad rally this year has many bulls scratching their heads. Bulls don’t complain about new highs in the stock market, but this sort of ongoing lift is very rare.

The Small Investors feels very good now … We like to Buy when they are SCARED! (But most don’t have the discipline to wait).

Bonds fell as the yield on the 10-year Treasury rise to 2.60%.

Steel Stocks have Broken Out, and should be good on the next pull-back (FCX VALE  X)

Crude Oil was up  4.65% for the week at $64.30, and GOLD was up 0.95%.

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MONEY WAVE BUYS SOON:    We are currently in 1 logged Open Position, for the Short Term. There are 2 Investments on the Short Term Watch List, so be patient and WAIT for Green Zone Buys!

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LONG TERM TRADES 

The Funds below are currently out of favor, but historically these could possibly Double or more from these lower levels. We are looking for a good Entry Point for these, but need the entire Economy  & Inflation to pick up speed:

DBC   COMMODITY FUND   Relative Strength is back Below 90.
FCX   FREEPORT MCMORAN    Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
GRPN   GROUPON INC.    Wait for Break Out above $5.99 on High Volume.
JJC     COPPER FUND       Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
KOL    COAL FUND        Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
LL   LUMBER LIQUIDATORS   Relative Strength is Below 90.
REMX   RARE EARTH FUND   Wait for Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
TWTR   TWITTER INC.   Wait on Break Out Above $25.25.
UGA   US GASOLINE FUND     Volume is too low… Break Out Above $33.07.
VALE   VALE DE RIO    Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.

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Click for  Portfolio (Open Positions)  
Click for  Watch List
Click for  Closed Positions

 

Alert! Market Risk is HIGH (Red Zone). The probability of successful Short Term Trades is lower, when the S&P 500 is Way Above the Green Line. Even the Strongest Funds can get chopped up. Either take quick gains from Money Wave Pops, or STAY IN CASH & WAIT for a larger correction.

Tell your Friends about the Green Line, and Help Animals.

Related Post

– Green Line Weekly Jan 7, 2018

 

01/07/2018:  Markets rallied another 2% as Investors are hoping for higher profits. Volume was lower on the Holiday week.

Not much should change until the Commodity Index breaks out above 196.36 to the upside. The Bond Market watches this Index to determine if Inflation is picking up. Most  Investors are currently not prepared for Inflation.

 

Steel Stocks have Broken Out, and should be good on the next pull-back (FCX VALE  X)

Crude Oil was up  1.69% for the week at $61.44, and GOLD was up 0.99%.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

MONEY WAVE BUYS SOON:    We are currently in 2 logged Open Positions, for the Short Term. There are 2 Investments on the Short Term Watch List, so be patient and WAIT for Green Zone Buys!

______________________________________________________________________________________________

LONG TERM TRADES 

The Funds below are currently out of favor, but historically these could possibly Double or more from these lower levels. We are looking for a good Entry Point for these, but need the entire Economy  & Inflation to pick up speed:

DBC   COMMODITY FUND   Relative Strength is back Below 90.
GRPN   GROUPON INC.    Wait for Break Out above $5.99 on High Volume.
JJC     COPPER FUND       Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
KOL    COAL FUND        Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
LL   LUMBER LIQUIDATORS   Relative Strength is Below 90.
REMX   RARE EARTH FUND   Wait for Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
TWTR   TWITTER INC.   Wait on Break Out Above $25.25.
UGA   US GASOLINE FUND     Volume is too low… Break Out Above $33.07.
VALE   VALE DE RIO    Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.

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Click for  Portfolio (Open Positions)  
Click for  Watch List
Click for  Closed Positions

 

Alert! Market Risk is HIGH (Red Zone). The probability of successful Short Term Trades is lower, when the S&P 500 is Way Above the Green Line. Even the Strongest Funds can get chopped up. Either take quick gains from Money Wave Pops, or STAY IN CASH & WAIT for a larger correction.

Tell your Friends about the Green Line, and Help Animals.

Related Post

– Green Line Weekly Dec 31, 2017

 

12/31/2017:  Markets had a historic up move this year, with the Major Indices up more than 20%!  Historically, Investment results are better if you “Buy & Hold” during a strong up move, instead of Trading the move.

But If you are expecting the Markets to have another 20 + % gain in 2018, you could easily be disappointed. However it could be a great Trading year, and the Green Line Trading System could do very well. Trading works best with both Emotions (Fear & Greed) kicking in.

Since Nov 2016, there has been little FEAR, as the Markets have not Returned to the Green Line since then. Markets have not corrected well, so the Money Wave Buy Pops have been small… This will eventually change, as the liquidity of 8 years of FED Printing is gone, and now the FED is Raising Interest Rates.

Historically with a Strong Economy there will be Rising Interest Rates and Inflation. There are many Investments (ETF’s & Stocks) that should do very well with this environment. 

Many Sectors such as Copper, Coal, Oil, Rare Earth & Steel have started up now from long Bear or Down Markets. But the Volume has not been there to confirm good Break Outs (most do not Believe).  We want to see how these hold up when the Major Markets return to their Green Lines. Money eventually Flows to better Value (to where Tammy is not).

Markets are now in a “Goldilocks” Economy (Low Interest Rates, Low Inflation & Growing Earnings)… Many (or most) are “hoping” for more years of growing Earnings. We will see. When most agree…

 

Crude Oil was up  3,34% for the week at $60.42, and GOLD was up 2.39%.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

MONEY WAVE BUYS SOON:    We are currently in 2 logged Open Positions, for the Short Term. There are 5 Investments on the Short Term Watch List, so be patient and WAIT for Green Zone Buys!

______________________________________________________________________________________________

LONG TERM TRADES 

The Funds below are currently out of favor, but historically these could possibly Double or more from these lower levels. We are looking for a good Entry Point for these, but need the entire Economy  & Inflation to pick up speed:

DBC   COMMODITY FUND   Relative Strength is back Below 90.
GRPN   GROUPON INC.    Wait for Break Out above $5.99 on High Volume.
JJC     COPPER FUND       Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
KOL    COAL FUND        Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
LL   LUMBER LIQUIDATORS   Relative Strength is Below 90.
REMX   RARE EARTH FUND   Wait for Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.
TWTR   TWITTER INC.   Wait on Break Out Above $25.25.
UGA   US GASOLINE FUND     Volume is too low… Break Out Above $33.07.
VALE   VALE DE RIO    Wait for the next Green Zone Buy on the Daily Chart.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Click for  Portfolio (Open Positions)  
Click for  Watch List
Click for  Closed Positions

 

Alert! Market Risk is HIGH (Red Zone). The probability of successful Short Term Trades is lower, when the S&P 500 is Way Above the Green Line. Even the Strongest Funds can get chopped up. Either take quick gains from Money Wave Pops, or STAY IN CASH & WAIT for a larger correction.

Tell your Friends about the Green Line, and Help Animals.

Related Post

– Green Line Weekly Dec 17, 2017

 

12/17/2017:  Markets were higher for the week, with the Dow and the S&P hitting all-time highs and gaining about 1% each for the week. Stocks jumped after changes were made to the tax reform bill and Markets are expecting the votes to pass the bill next week.

The Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds rate a quarter-point as expected.

Please be aware that the S&P 500 has not RETURNED to the Green Line in over a year, as Hope and Confidence are very high.  Please have some Cash available when the Markets return to the G L.

Crude Oil was unchanged for the week at $57.33, and GOLD was up 0.73%.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

MONEY WAVE BUYS SOON:    We are currently in 5 logged Open Positions, for the Short Term. There are 3 Investments on the Short Term Watch List, so be patient and WAIT for Green Zone Buys!

______________________________________________________________________________________________

LONG TERM TRADES 

The Funds below are currently out of favor, but historically these could possibly Double or more from these lower levels. We are looking for a good Entry Point for these, but need the entire Economy  & Inflation to pick up speed:

DBC   COMMODITY FUND   Relative Strength is back Below 90.
GRPN   GROUPON INC.    Wait for Break Out above $5.99 on High Volume.
JJC     COPPER FUND         Relative Strength has dumped, and Volume is Low.
KOL    COAL FUND        Closed above $15.44, but the Volume is poor so holding off.
LL   LUMBER LIQUIDATORS   Relative Strength is Below 90.
REMX   RARE EARTH FUND   Wait for Green Zone Buy on the Weekly Chart.
TWTR   TWITTER INC.   Wait on Break Out Above $25.25.
UGA   US GASOLINE FUND     Volume is too low… Break Out Above $33.07.
VALE   VALE DE RIO    Wait for Break Out above $11.72 on High Volume.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Click for  Portfolio (Open Positions)  
Click for  Watch List
Click for  Closed Positions

 

Alert! Market Risk is HIGH (Red Zone). The probability of successful Short Term Trades is lower, when the S&P 500 is Way Above the Green Line. Even the Strongest Funds can get chopped up. Either take quick gains from Money Wave Pops, or STAY IN CASH & WAIT for a larger correction.

Tell your Friends about the Green Line, and Help Animals.

 

QUESTION:   Kerry writes:  “I am curious about  your thinking on TRXC in view of its recent market movement and transfer to the long term list.  It seems that there might be something that you particularly like about this security in spite of its continuing  price declines.  I wonder if you could explain that to me.  I am not arguing or questioning the process—just interested in understanding it.”  

Thanks so much in advance.

ANSWER:  Hi Kerry. Usually when an Investment goes up on HUGE Volume and High Relative Strength, Tammy will Buy on the Good News (at the top).  

Smart Money SELLS!  Then the Investment will slowly fade back down toward the Green Line on low Volume… Normally the Investments will try the Highs again, so Smart Money will buy when Tammy is selling… The hard part is picking the BOTTOM… If you had bought at $4.50 in Oct., you would probably be Blowing Out of it now with a HUGE Loss.

TRXC went up HUGE in 4 days on High Volume in Oct. (called Impulse Wave).  Now it is Correcting slowly on Low Volume (Correcting Wave) but still has 98 Relative Strength.   The previous Money Wave Buy Signal was just too early…

Today’s Volume is low, probably flushing out all of the WEAK Hands, so Smart Money can Accumulate.  TRXC CHART

 

 

Related Post

– Green Line Weekly Dec 10, 2017

 

12/10/2017:  Markets were higher for the week, with the Dow and the S&P hitting all-time highs and gaining about 0.4% each for the week. The Nasdaq fell 0.1%, as the rotation out of some of the tech high-fliers continued.

Consumer sentiment for December came in at 96.8, which was down from expectations of 99.0 and the previous 98.5. 

We have the Federal Reserve meeting next week, and a quarter-point rate hike seems a done deal.

Markets are seeing some “big rotation” taking place as large money managers and institutions prepare for the end of the year. Big profits are being locked in, especially among the big-cap techs (FAANGs) stocks. 

Please be aware that the S&P 500 has not RETURNED to the Green Line in over a year, as Hope and Confidence are very high.  But have some Cash available when the Markets return to the G L.

Most Leading Funds are back up in the Red Zones, so Nimble traders should be raising Cash.  We like to Buy when the Herd is SCARED, and Investments are ON SALE!

Crude Oil was down 1.71% for the week at $57.36, and GOLD was down 2.64%.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

MONEY WAVE BUYS SOON:    We are currently in 7 logged Open Positions, for the Short Term. There is 1 Investment on the Short Term Watch List, so be patient and WAIT for Green Zone Buys!

______________________________________________________________________________________________

LONG TERM TRADES 

The Funds below are currently out of favor, but historically these could possibly Double or more from these lower levels. We are looking for a good Entry Point for these, but need the entire Economy  & Inflation to pick up speed:

DBC   COMMODITY FUND   Relative Strength is back Below 90.
GRPN   GROUPON INC.    Wait for Break Out above $5.94 on High Volume.
JJC     COPPER FUND         Relative Strength has dumped, and Volume is Low.
KOL    COAL FUND         Wait for Break Out above $15.44 on High Volume.
LL   LUMBER LIQUIDATORS   Relative Strength is Below 90.
REMX   RARE EARTH FUND   Wait for Green Zone Buy on the Weekly Chart.
TWTR   TWITTER INC.   Wait on Break Out Above $25.25.
UGA   US GASOLINE FUND     Volume is too low… Break Out Above $33.07.
VALE   VALE DE RIO    Wait for Break Out above $11.72 on High Volume.

___________________________________________________________________________________________

Click for  Portfolio (Open Positions)  
Click for  Watch List
Click for  Closed Positions

 

Alert! Market Risk is HIGH (Red Zone). The probability of successful Short Term Trades is lower, when the S&P 500 is Way Above the Green Line. Even the Strongest Funds can get chopped up. Either take quick gains from Money Wave Pops, or STAY IN CASH & WAIT for a larger correction.

Tell your Friends about the Green Line, and Help Animals.

 

QUESTION:    Lorenzo writes ” I been going over the site back and forth, looking for more information on the market. Precisely Spy,Iwm,Efa,and Agg. Because  these stocks are the only one that I can invest in as far as my TSP. Can you please help me. I’m looking more for entry and exit to grow my TSP. 

Thank you for your help.”

ANSWER:   Thank you for writing, Florenzo.

The Markets are High, and have not corrected much since Nov. 2017.  Try to Buy at the Green Line, not Way Above. You could stay in the 4 Fund choices that you have, as long as they are Above the Green Line (250-day average). (Relative Strength is < 90).

For entry & exit, you might use the Chart below… CHART LINK  Buy when the HERD is SCARED… Sell when the HERD feels GREAT (LIKE NOW).

This could be near the Top of an 8 ½ year Economic Cycle, when Inflation comes back. Unfortunately your 4 Funds historically won’t do well with Inflation… You will need Energy, Commodity, and Precious Metals Funds. Most Plans don’t offer those… It could get ugly when Inflation returns (Bonds fell in Half in early 80’s). When Inflation returns, and if your Funds fall BELOW the GREEN LINE, EXIT & GO TO CASH or Money Market.

Good trading, and tell your friends!

Related Post

– Green Line Weekly Nov 26, 2017